
Sudeep Shah, Head of Technical and Derivatives Research at SBI Securities, has shared his perspective on the current technical setup of the Nifty and where investors should focus their attention. While the Nifty’s chart patterns indicate that traders should remain cautious in the short term, the broader outlook, according to Shah, continues to be bullish — with four specific stocks showing strong potential for gains.
Current Market Sentiment: Why Caution Is Advised
The Nifty index has been hovering near its recent highs, reflecting strong market sentiment supported by robust corporate earnings, global cues, and consistent foreign institutional investor (FII) inflows. However, Shah warns that some technical indicators — such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and moving average divergences — suggest that the index is entering an overbought zone.
“Markets have seen a sharp rally over the last few weeks, and while momentum is still intact, we could see intermittent profit booking. Traders need to manage positions with strict stop-loss levels to avoid being caught in sudden pullbacks,” he said.
Support and Resistance Levels to Watch
Bullish Outlook Despite Short-Term Risks
Even with this cautious stance, Shah maintains that India’s economic fundamentals, strong earnings growth, and healthy domestic participation continue to support a bullish long-term market structure. This, he believes, presents opportunities for positional traders and medium-term investors.
Top 4 Stock Recommendations for the Coming Week
1. Reliance Industries Ltd. (RIL)
2. Larsen & Toubro (L&T)
3. HDFC Bank
4. Tata Motors
Trading Strategy for the Week
Shah advises that traders should adopt a buy-on-dips approach in fundamentally strong stocks while keeping a watch on the broader index for any signs of weakness. Positional investors can accumulate the above picks with a 2–3 week horizon.
He also stressed the importance of risk management, recommending that traders avoid overleveraging and book partial profits when targets are near to safeguard gains.
Bottom Line
While short-term volatility is possible, the medium- to long-term bullish structure of the Indian market remains intact. With disciplined trading and focus on quality stocks like Reliance, L&T, HDFC Bank, and Tata Motors, investors can position themselves for potential upside in the coming week.